Forecast Discussion
The North Carolina Division of Air Quality issues forecasts for fine particulate matter year-round and ozone from March through October. Forecasts and discussions are updated each afternoon for the next three days, and are sometimes updated in the morning to reflect the latest ambient conditions.
This forecast was issued on Tuesday, September 30, 2025 at 3:00 pm.
This forecast is currently valid.
Today's Air Quality Conditions
Ozone levels are holding in the Code Green range statewide today while fine particulate levels across the interior from Charlotte to the Triangle are elevated into the low Code Yellow range, while remaining in the Code Green range elsewhere across the state.
For a display of the most recent Air Quality Index (AQI) conditions throughout the day, visit the Ambient Information Reporter (AIR) tool.
General Forecast Discussion
The 500 mb complex of an upper trough with a partially captured Hurricane Imelda and Humberto will finally depart the southeast as the entire circulation is pulled eastward by a large upper level vortex (which will be called the Polar Vortex in two months) before eventually getting left in the North Atlantic.
Behind this system, upper level ridging will build into the eastern U.S. resulting in dry, pleasant fall conditions. Surface high pressure will build down the Appalachians and deliver a cool, dry air mass through the forecast period. Air quality levels should lower into the Code Green range once the drier air works into the region on Thursday.
Behind this system, upper level ridging will build into the eastern U.S. resulting in dry, pleasant fall conditions. Surface high pressure will build down the Appalachians and deliver a cool, dry air mass through the forecast period. Air quality levels should lower into the Code Green range once the drier air works into the region on Thursday.
Outlook
Fine particulate levels may remain in the Code Yellow range across the interior tomorrow as a final slug of elevated fine particulate air moves through the region. Behind this, a drier, cleaner air mass should work into the region for the remainder of the work week.
Daily PM2.5 values > 9.0 μg/m³, or in the Code Yellow range or higher, may contribute to an exceedance of the EPA's annual PM2.5 standard.
Extended Air Quality Outlook
The forecast Air Quality Index value for each pollutant represents the highest value expected within each county, so some areas and monitors may see lower values. We use the best information and techniques available to ensure the quality and accuracy of the forecasts we provide to the public. Note that ranges do not include the nine-county Triad region, which is covered by the Forsyth County Office of Environmental Assistance and Protection.
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(Elevation > 4,000 feet)