Forecast Discussion
The North Carolina Division of Air Quality issues forecasts for fine particulate matter year-round and ozone from March through October. Forecasts and discussions are updated each afternoon for the next three days, and are sometimes updated in the morning to reflect the latest ambient conditions.
This forecast was issued on Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 2:47 pm.
This forecast is currently valid.
Today's Air Quality Conditions
Ozone levels are holding in the Code Green range this afternoon while fine particulate levels across most of interior NC east of the Foothills are in the low Code Yellow range.
For a display of the most recent Air Quality Index (AQI) conditions throughout the day, visit the Ambient Information Reporter (AIR) tool.
General Forecast Discussion
Tomorrow, a mid-level trough approaching from the west will result in continued unsettled weather, with showers and storms remaining likely. With a moist air mass in place, it is likely fine particulate levels will remain elevated across much of the state through the period. Ozone levels will likely remain low due to clouds.
Outlook
Thursday into Friday, behind the departing mid-level trough, a weak surface low and attendant cold front will also be pulled eastward. In typical summertime fashion, a very weak area of high pressure behind the system will try to push the front into the region. A brief respite from the overwhelming heat and humidity of recent weeks may be in store on Thursday - especially in western NC. A slightly drier and cooler northwest wind may behind the dissipating surface front may allow for the temporary cleansing of the air shed as well, resulting in fine particulate levels lowering into the Code Green range. Ozone levels should also hold in the Code Green range. By Friday, weak high pressure builds back into the region and may begin to stagnate the air mass once again. Air quality levels on Friday should hold around the Code Green/Yellow threshold for both pollutants in the metros and remain a bit lower elsewhere.
Daily PM2.5 values > 9.0 μg/m³, or in the Code Yellow range or higher, may contribute to an exceedance of the EPA's annual PM2.5 standard.
Extended Air Quality Outlook
The forecast Air Quality Index value for each pollutant represents the highest value expected within each county, so some areas and monitors may see lower values. We use the best information and techniques available to ensure the quality and accuracy of the forecasts we provide to the public. Note that ranges do not include the nine-county Triad region, which is covered by the Forsyth County Office of Environmental Assistance and Protection.
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(Elevation > 4,000 feet)