Forecast Discussion
The North Carolina Division of Air Quality issues forecasts for fine particulate matter year-round and ozone from March through October. Forecasts and discussions are updated each afternoon for the next three days, and are sometimes updated in the morning to reflect the latest ambient conditions.
This forecast was issued on Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 4:30 pm.
This is an old forecast that is no longer valid.
Today's Air Quality Conditions
Increased fire activity across southwestern NC is resulting in one visible fire at the moment (the Collet Ridge wildfire in Cherokee County) and one reported fire (the Poplar Drive wildfire in Henderson County) that is likely resulting in localized Code Red / Code Orange respectively particle pollution concentrations.
For a display of the most recent Air Quality Index (AQI) conditions throughout the day, visit the Ambient Information Reporter (AIR) tool.
General Forecast Discussion
Ongoing dry atmospheric conditions combined with a persistent drought has led to several fires developing across southwestern NC. As a result, a burn ban is now in effect for 14 counties in this region. Based on all available information, it appears that these fires may continue through at least tomorrow and that localized Code Red fine particulate concentrations may be possible in Cherokee County, where the smoke plumes are originating from and are is still visible on satellite currently. The smoke plume in Henderson County with the Poplar Drive is not as evident currently, but with fire activity reportedly still ongoing and the fire no where near contained, more smoke is possible so will continue to hold Code Orange in this area and we will continue to monitor the situation.
Outlook
Will continue to monitor for additional fires, along with evaluating the status of the two primary existing ones, and update the forecast as warranted. Continued dry conditions are likely through much of next week, which may exacerbate the current increased fire danger situation.
Extended Air Quality Outlook
The forecast Air Quality Index value for each pollutant represents the highest value expected within each county, so some areas and monitors may see lower values. We use the best information and techniques available to ensure the quality and accuracy of the forecasts we provide to the public. Note that ranges do not include the nine-county Triad region, which is covered by the Forsyth County Office of Environmental Assistance and Protection.
Forecast Day
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Max AQI Range
Category Range
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North Ridges
South Ridges
(Elevation > 4,000 feet)