Forecast Discussion
The North Carolina Division of Air Quality issues forecasts for fine particulate matter year-round and ozone from March through October. Forecasts and discussions are updated each afternoon for the next three days, and are sometimes updated in the morning to reflect the latest ambient conditions.
This forecast was issued on Saturday, June 17, 2023 at 9:31 am.
This is an old forecast that is no longer valid.
Today's Air Quality Conditions
Hourly ozone levels are well into the Code Orange range across the high elevation ridge top monitors this morning. Elsewhere, ozone levels are currently in the Code Green range (for now) across the state. Particle pollution levels are currently in the mid Code Yellow range, with the exception in Brunswick County near the Pulp Road fire where levels likely remain in the Code Red range.
For a display of the most recent Air Quality Index (AQI) conditions throughout the day, visit the Ambient Information Reporter (AIR) tool.
General Forecast Discussion
Hourly ozone levels aloft are signaling significant ozone that will mix down across western NC later this morning. This, along with enhanced surface level smoke will likely result in ozone rising into the Code Orange range in the Triangle and Charlotte region, and upper Code Yellow range elsewhere across the state. Satellite still indicates significant smoke currently blowing north to south from the Pulp Road fire in Brunswick County, where localized Code Red conditions remain possible. Have increased the ozone forecast considering the magnitude of elevated ozone aloft and the incoming smoke, along with yesterday's max. 8-hour ozone concentrations across the state.
Extended Air Quality Outlook
The forecast Air Quality Index value for each pollutant represents the highest value expected within each county, so some areas and monitors may see lower values. We use the best information and techniques available to ensure the quality and accuracy of the forecasts we provide to the public. Note that ranges do not include the nine-county Triad region, which is covered by the Forsyth County Office of Environmental Assistance and Protection.
North Ridges
South Ridges
(Elevation > 4,000 feet)